Let
and represent MCL sprains and ACL tears, respectively.
Let be the event that player is backfield player.
Given:
a. Finding
Answer
a. b. c.
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Let
S and T represent MCL sprains and ACL tears, respectively.
Let B be the event that player is backfield player.
Given:
\begin{matrix} P(S|B)= 0.39,& P(T|B)= 0.61,&P(S|B^c)= 0.33,& P(T| B^c)= 0.67,\\ P(B)= \dfrac{7}{15} \approx 0.47, &P(B|S \cup T)= 0.47,& P(B^c| S \cup T)= 0.43 \end{matrix}
P(S∣B)=0.39,
P(B)=157≈0.47,P(T∣B)=0.61,P(B∣S∪T)=0.47,
P(S∣Bc)=0.33,P(Bc∣S∪T)=0.43P(T∣Bc)=0.67,
a. Finding P(S):
\begin{align*} P(S) &= P(S \cap B) + P(S \cap B^c)\\ &= P(B) P(S|B) + P(B^c)(S| B^c)\\ &= 0.47 (0.39)+ 0.53(0.33)\\ &\approx 0.36 \end{align*}
P(S)=P(S∩B)+P(S∩Bc)=P(B)P(S∣B)+P(Bc)(S∣Bc)=0.47(0.39)+0.53(0.33)≈0.36
Answer
a. 0.36b. 0.49 c. 0.45
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