(P4.70)- Bayes’ Rule II If an experiment is conducted

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Exercise 4.70

(P4.70)- Bayes’ Rule II If an experiment is conducted, one and only one of three mutually exclusive events S1, S2, and S3 can occur, with these probabilities:

P(S1) = .2 P(S2) = .5 P(S3) = .3

The probabilities of a fourth event A occurring, given that event S1, S2, or S3 occurs, are 

P(A|S1) = .2 P(A|S2) = .1 P(A|S3) = .3

If event A is observed, find P(S1|A), P(S2|A), and P(S3|A).


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